November 30, 2020

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The Typical Stock Market Yield Is Slowly Declining.The average stock market return since 1926 is roughly 10%, including dividends. If a person were to tell you that you’d average 10 percent annually for the next 10-30 years, I’m assuming most of you would gladly invest your cash.Regrettably, the proportion of Americans investing in the stock market has steadily declined to approximately 50 percent as of 2020.

Together with stock market volatility back like a vengeance at 2020, the average stock exchange return is very likely to go even lower. After all, we’ve only gone through a 10+-year bull market. The subsequent 40 percent possessed $132,000 on average. For the bottom half of families, it was only under $54,000.We have seen over a 200% rise in the S&P 500 in 2009 — 2018, meaning that serious wealth was produced from the wealthiest of Americans. What’s even more astounding is that the top 1 percent of households by wealth possessed nearly 38 percent of all stocks shares according to research from NYU economist Edward Wolff.All this data means that the median net worth for the middle class has not only gone nowhere because the height of the last boom in 2007down and has never recovered unlike the mass affluent or the top 1 percent.The Typical Stock Market Return Is Slowly DecliningThough the average stock exchange return since 1926 is roughly 10%, the returns over recent decades have gradually begun to decline

Below is the historical risk/return of various stock and bond portfolio weightings according to Vanguard, one of the biggest money managers in the world who initiated index investing.If you invested 100% in stocks since 1926, you would have dropped 10.2 percent, but would have lost 43.1% on your worst season and gained 54.2% in your best year. About 28 percent of those years you would have lost money too, which does not sound very good.Now let’s take a look at the average stock exchange return in more recent decades: 1999 — 2018 based on J.P. Morgan, one of the other big money manager in the world.As you can see in the data, the S&P 500 gained only 5.6percent annually for the 20 year interval between 1999-2018. 5.6percent is almost half the operation of the historic average since 1926. What’s?Among the main reasons why stock market yields are compounding lower is because of two big corrections in 2000 and in 2008-2009.Another main reason could be the constant reduction in the secure rate of return, or the 10-year bond return. All returns correlate with the risk-free rate of return because nobody would invest in a risky asset if there wasn’t an appropriate risk-premium.

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As or 4Q2019, the 10-year bond yield is at 1.5%. Back in 1999, the 10-year bond yield was 6%. You’d think that as the risk-free rate returns, more investors might like to invest in risk assets such as stocks to gain a greater return, but the cash has transferred to real estate as the other asset category of choice.For more details, you can observe the annual percentage change from the S&P 500 with dividends since 1965.YEARPERCENTAGE CHANGE IN THE S&P 500 WITH DIVIDENDS196510.01966-11.7196730.9196811.01969-8.419703.9197114.6197218.91973-14.81974-26.4197537.2197623.61977-7.419786.4197918.2198032.31981-5.0198221.4198322.419846.1198531.6198618.619875.1198816.6198931.71990-3.1199130.519927.6199310.119941.3199537.6199623.0199733.4199828.6199921.02000-9.12001-11.92002-22.1200328.7200410.920054.9200615.820075.52008-37.0200926.5201015.120112.1201216.0201332.4201413.720151.4201612.0201721.82018-4.4

Every year because 2009 has been solid, except for 2018. 2019 is shaping up to close the year up at least 10 percent, after being up as much as 20%. A good deal of volatility is back because of commerce war rhetoric and fears of a recession due to an inverted yield curve.Easiest Ways To Invest In The Stock MarketThe easiest way to invest in the stock market is via an ETF.

The fund has a net expense ratio of 0.0945%.One of the most popular S&P 500 index funds is the Vanguard Total Market Fund (VTSAX). It was created in 1992 to mirror the operation of this S&P 500. It has an expense ratio of just 0.04%, which can be among the lowest, if not lowest cost ratios in the industry.A single investor can easily by these investments to gain low-cost exposure to the S&P 500. The tricky part is figuring out how much to buy in relation to your other assets such as bonds, cash, and property.

This is where a cheap digital wealth adviser like Betterment comes in. Betterment was set in 2008 and makes a model portfolio for you according to your risk tolerance. Your risk tolerance is set by answering numerous questions when you first register. From there, all you have to do is contribute and your money will be invested in a basket of Vanguard ETFs accordingly.Below is a sample of a model portfolio in which an individual has a greater risk tolerance with a 90 percent weighting in stocks. The key to investing is stocks would be always to dollar cost average constantly with time.Despite the housing bubble which started to pop in 2007, there’s not any denying that REITs (#1 performer), commercial property, and residential property have performed well since 1999.Homes show only a 3.4% compound growth from 1999 — 2018, but most houses are bought with 20 percent or less. Because of this, the cash-on-cash yield for Homes is closer to 15%a year.More funds is seeking real estate since borrowing costs are not just lower, but the volatility of real estate costs is lower as well.

People understand property since it provides usefulness and is something tangible, unlike shares.Everybody needs to own at least their principal residence to stay neutral real estate. It is only once you have your primary residence and buy more real estate will be your truly long real estate.You can purchase REITs for wide exposure. You can even put money into property crowdfunding via a platform such as Fundrise, to gain more surgical exposure.I’m bullish on the heartland of America because valuations are reduced and net rental yields are higher. In the past, there was no way I could efficiently purchase a commercial property in Dallas, for example.

TodayI can invest as little as $500 to gain diversified exposure to a market that is seeing an influx of residents thanks to engineering and job development.I’ve personally spent $810,000 in property crowdfunding later selling my expensive SF rental for 30X yearly gross rent back in 2017. It seems great diversifying my resources and making income 100% passively.


I strongly believe there’ll be a multi-decade migration shift away from expensive coastal cities and into lower cost areas of the country.Fundrise is free to register and explore. They are by far the most innovative and many high excellent platform today.Invest In Stocks, Bonds, And Real EstateAs a buyer that is long-term, it’s worth investing in stocks, bonds, and even real estate to build wealth. Each asset category has its advantages and pitfalls.Personally, I’m biased towards investing in real estate in strong financial cities such as San Francisco, Austin, Memphis, and Washington D.C. I like the reduced volatility of real estate and the continuous increase and income.However, I love to invest in great companies and profit 100% passive income exposure from dividend stocks and real estate crowdfunding.Whatever you do, do not just spend all of your money and live for today.


You must invest for tomorrow because there will come a time at which you will no more have the energy or desire to get the job done.I’ve been retired since 2012 since I saved 70 percent of my earnings on average for 13 years and invested 100 percent of my savings each year. As a result, I managed to walk off with about $80,000 annually in investment income to live the life how I want. Yes, the start years took forfeit. But with the liberty to do what you need, whenever you want is priceless.

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